Archive for the ‘United States’ Tag
The Ant Trade’s Consequences
The ant trade is the name for the trickle of guns that flow south to Mexico as drugs come north. It’s called that, because traditionally, only a handful of guns cross the border in any single arms run. Done enough times, however, and the flow of arms can be quite large. Hence the image of ants crossing the border all with several weapons. It seems that trickle has increased greatly in the past few years:
No other state has produced more guns seized by police in the brutal Mexican drug wars than Texas. In the Lone Star State, no other city has more guns linked to Mexican crime scenes than Houston. And in the Texas oil town, no single independent dealer stands out more for selling guns traced from south of the border than Bill Carter.
Carter, 76, has operated four Carter’s Country stores in the Houston metropolitan area over the past half-century. In the past two years, more than 115 guns from his stores have been seized by the police and military in Mexico.
As an unprecedented number of American guns flows to the murderous drug cartels across the border, the identities of U.S. dealers that sell guns seized at Mexican crime scenes remain confidential under a law passed by Congress in 2003.
A year-long investigation by The Washington Post has cracked that secrecy and uncovered the names of the top 12 U.S. dealers of guns traced to Mexico in the past two years.
Eight of the top 12 dealers are in Texas, three are in Arizona, and one is in California. In Texas, two of the four Houston area Carter’s Country stores are on the list, along with four gun retailers in the Rio Grande Valley at the southern tip of the state. There are 3,800 gun retailers in Texas, 300 in Houston alone.
“One of the reasons that Houston is the number one source, you can go to a different gun store for a month and never hit the same gun store,” said J. Dewey Webb, special agent in charge of the Houston field division of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives. “You can buy [a 9mm handgun] down along the border, but if you come to Houston, you can probably buy it cheaper because there’s more dealers, there’s more competition.”
Drug cartels have aggressively turned to the United States because Mexico severely restricts gun ownership. Following gunrunning paths that have been in place for 50 years, firearms cross the border and end up in the hands of criminals as well as ordinary citizens seeking protection.
“This is not a new phenomenon,” Webb said.
What is different now, authorities say, is the number of high-powered rifles heading south – AR-15s, AK-47s, armor-piercing .50-caliber weapons – and the savagery of the violence.
Federal authorities say more than 60,000 U.S. guns of all types have been recovered in Mexico in the past four years, helping fuel the violence that has contributed to 30,000 deaths. Mexican President Felipe Calderon came to Washington in May and urged Congress and President Obama to stop the flow of guns south.
U.S. law enforcement has ramped up its focus on gun trafficking along the southwestern border. Arrests of individual gunrunners have surged. But investigators rarely bring regulatory actions or criminal cases against U.S. gun dealers, in part because of laws backed by the gun lobby that make it difficult to prove cases.
First, a big problem here is there’s a politically powerful vested interest that profits from arming the drug cartels. The U.S., generally, is very good about controlling the flow of our military arms, but it seems the security state is turning a blind eye to this problem. Second, as crime has continued to decrease in the U.S. despite the recession, the increase in violence in Mexico may be the actual consequence of the lapsing of the assault weapons ban. I’ll also just note that border states have particularly lenient gun ownership laws, which no doubt helps fuel the ant trade. I wonder when this problem will create enough political pressure to change current gun policy.
Update:
Conservatives at Red State, of course, have a genuinely insane idea related to this: invade Mexico.
Lithium Blogging
Matt Yglesias has a post up about an article posted on CNAS’s national security blog about lithium and mentions political problems between the U.S. and Bolivia. This is the key part:
But going forward, the center of lithium influence is likely to shift to Bolivia, since vast reserves lie beneath its Salar de Uyuni salt flats. For the United States, this could be a problem: the Morales government remains hostile to U.S. concerns, and there is potential for instability given serious rifts in Bolivian politics. (emphasis added by Yglesias)
As Yglesias says, “[t]his mostly strikes me as an example of how the American foreign policy establishment’s ability to gin up ‘threats’ to our national security is really impressive.” It goes a bit beyond that, as if we wanted to improve our relations with Bolivia and Morales, we easily could.
But first, I think Yglesias does not frame the problem well. He argues, essentially, we shouldn’t worry because we have money, and since we have money, it’s a done-deal we’ll get a slice of the lithium. On the world commodity markets, I think that’s true. But if we want to get in on the extraction of lithium, and view that as a national security prerogative, I don’t think Bolivia will magically open the gates for us. Just in Asia, we are competing with China, Japan, Russia, and South Korea for lithium extraction rights. Yglesias likens the Bolivia/lithium issue to the Venezuela/oil issue, but there are key differences between the two. Neither the U.S. nor Bolivia are dependent on lithium the way the U.S. and Venezuelan economies are dependent on oil. This gives room for the both countries to shape the contours of the relationship and the economic structure of lithium extraction. If we don’t get our act together, I think it’s likely Bolivia will award contracts to states they are friendly with. For example, a state like China, who is working with Bolivia on creating a satellite. That doesn’t mean we wouldn’t be able to buy lithium, as it will be an internationally traded commodity, but our mining businesses will miss out and our national security apparatus might deem it prudent to have a hand in the extraction process.
Implicit in this conversation is the fact that the Morales government will keep tight control over any foreign venture extracting lithium. For our businesses to have a shot at getting in at the ground level, we need better bilateral relations with Bolivia. In a few easy steps America could drastically improve our relations with the Morales government, who is almost certain to win reelection, and gain a foothold for U.S. companies in any lithium extraction. There’s two things to keep in my mind. First, that Morales rise to power was a reaction to the failure of Goni’s presidency. And in the atmosphere where a president has fled the country for safe haven in the U.S. after riots and protests, the refusal of the U.S. to extradite the man to face charges in Bolivia makes anti-U.S. rhetoric an easy (and successful) electoral strategy. Second, the costs of bad relations with the U.S. hurts Bolivia a lot more than it hurts us.
In no particular order, these are a few actions that would directly improve U.S. relations with Bolivia at little cost to us:
- Reinstate our ambassador, like we did with Venezuela.
- Reinstate ATPDEA trade preferences for Bolivia, which is the only Andean excluded from the arrangement now.
- Extradite Goni back to Bolivia.
The point is these are all relatively painless actions for the U.S. and would buy goodwill with Morales, yet we refuse to do so. It’s almost as if we are trying to keep Morales mad at us, by deliberately sticking it to Bolivia. I’ll take CNAS’s national security blog post as an invitation for a Nirvana video, too:
Fact-free America
Not my usual thing, but the relentlessly ridiculous drivel mainstream media in America are pushing these days surprises even me. From supposedly neutral reporting to flat-out insanity at the Wall Street Journal, it’s truly something remarkable. Again, this puts the whole inability to report on Latin American affairs in perspective.
Brazil Roundup
Bunch of good things on Brazil I’ve read this week:
- Brazil and France Announce Military Agreement
- Whose Side is Brazil On? The Democracies or the Autocracies . . .
- Brazil Buys Bolivian Textiles
Protecting Wisconsin From Nefarious Mexican Imports
Apparently, it’s worthwhile to investigate illegal, unpasteurized Mexican cheese. I think this is a complete waste of time. Obviously, there’s a demand for the cheese:
Jonathan Gold, the Pulitzer Prize-winning L.A. Weekly food critic, said he prefers it. “I will admit that there are some groceries . . . where you do kind of buy cheese under the table, and it tastes better,” Gold said. “If you’re the sort of person who believes milk has a soul to it, which I guess I am, then pasteurizing is taking something away.” As for the potential danger posed by unpasteurized cheese, Gold added: “Life is filled with risks.”
Making goods in demand illegal will never completely destroy supply, and, instead, it simply raises prices, while at the same time, pushing regular people into buying products in an unregulated marketplace.
U.S. Drug Policy, Coca, and Bolivian Politics
I’m doing research for a student note to be published in the Fordham International Law Journal, and found this article (cite: 39 Cal. W. Int’l L.J. 237.) It’s one of the best studies of the relationship between Bolivia and the United States I’ve read, and is doubly interesting because of its focus on coca and the drug trade. The main conclusion is also noteworthy, namely, that the presidency and political phenomena of Evo Morales would not have been possible without the U.S.’s heavy handed anti-drug policy.
Brazil Interested in F-18 Aircraft for the São Paulo
The government of Brazil is contemplating the purchase of 28 F/A-18E/F Super Hornet Aircraft, to upgrade the fleet on their aircraft carrier, the São Paulo. (Brazil bought the São Paulo from France in 2000.) I think strengthening the US-Brazilian bilateral relationship is important and military cooperation is a part of that, but I have to wonder if Sino-Brazilian military exercises on the carrier is going to affect whether this sale could get approved by the Pentagon. It seems the chances of the Chinese looking under the hood at US military technology to be pretty high if they are training on a carrier stocked full with F-18s.
The FARC Gets Anti-tank Weapons
It appears that the FARC, the famous guerillas and paramilitaries that control parts of Colombia’s countryside, have obtained AT-4 anti-tank weapons. The weapons were made in Sweden and purchased by the Venezuelan government during the 1980s.
For years, there’s been whispers that Chavez has been supplying the FARC with weapons. These whispers are only going to grow louder. Semana magazine links the AT-4s to two military officers with connections to Chavez. Venezuela denies that it supplied the weapons to the Farc. The political fallout from this all depends on how high up any weapons smuggling corruption goes. I doubt this will damage Chavez’s presidency in anyway, as well. None the less, this won’t help defuse the tensions between Colombia and Venezuela.
Update:
Venezuela has recalled their ambassador from Colombia. There’s also some discussion here of how this affects US-Colombian relations, specifically, how this helps move forward the US plans for military bases in Colombia.
Gotta Maintain Our Reputation

So the FBI arrested a whole bunch of people in New Jersey (my home state) government, including the mayors of Seacaucus and Hoboken, on corruption charges. It seemed for a while that New Jersey had fallen behind in the corruption sweepstakes with Blago in Illinois and refrigerators of money in Louisiana. Good thing we’re at least making an effort.
Two things strike me about this story. First, Mr. Cammarano, the mayor of Hoboken, was sworn in July 1st. He’s now in jail. He’s a contender for the shortest stint at mayor with 22 days in office. Second, at least one person arrested was involved in the trade of organs on the black market:
[O]ne defendant, who became known as the “kidney salesman,” worked to get people to donate kidneys for $10,000, then would look to sell the kidneys for $160,000.
Weird.
(Photo Credit: Flickr)
The Most Trusted Name in News

(Hat tip: The Daily Dish)
Bolivia Accuses US of Supporting Uprising
Bolivian Presidential Minister, Juan Ramón Quintana, today accused US Southern Command of supporting subversive activity last year in Pando, leading up to the uprising in Santa Cruz. Previously, the Morales government has accused only US ambassador, Philip Goldberg, and USAID of indirect support for the coup attempt. This accusation comes fast on the heels of Morales suggesting that the US played a role in the Honduras coup.
The Pando uprising which occurred last September along with the Santa Cruz coup attempt, resulted in the massacre of Morales supporters by paramilitaries directed by Leopoldo Fernández, governor of the Pando department. Fernández was arrested by Bolivian security forces and remains in jail.
Regardless of SOUTHCOM’s actions last year, I’m sure that this isn’t going to help extradite Lozada or get Obama to reinstate the ATPDEA trade preferences.
Pando is the northernmost department that borders Brazil and Peru. The three departments of Pando, Beni, and Santa Cruz make up what’s called the “Orient” of Bolivia and is the heart of anti-Morales sentiment:

Evo Calls Out US Imperialism For Causing Honduran Coup
Evo Morales calls the Honduras coup all part-and-parcel of the greater project of imperialism (my translation):
North American imperialism decided to stop the growth [in Honduras], which is part of the rebellion of people against imperialism, as a warning, as a threat.
More English language coverage here.
Honduras Neogtiations: Ultimatums and the OAS
It’s become increasingly clear that for any resolution in the negotiations between the Micheletti government and former president Zelaya, the US will need to step in and take a prominent role. Sitting on the sidelines is not working. Zelaya has issued an ultimatum to cajole US action, knowing full-well that the waiting game plays into Micheletti’s hands. Meanwhile, Micheletti has hired a bunch of old Clinton administration lawyers to lobby on the Hill, presumably to try to stall any US decision as long as possible.
The Obama administration must decide whether to intervene in the negotiations more forcefully or to remain on the sidelines, in effect helping the Micheletti regime. This seems to completely ignore the importance of the OAS, and prompts Greg Weeks to ask an interesting question:
If the OAS became largely marginalized this quickly during a serious crisis, what is its purpose?
Despite the attempt to institutionalize independent legitimacy through political arrangements such as the OAS Democratic Charter, the OAS lacks negotiating power, especially when the US is in the room. This should not be surprising as the OAS is only as strong as the states that compose it. It’s most powerful member, the US, can bring pressure on the negotiating parties independent of the organization, while the other member-states lack the power to do so on their own. I think that this lack of independent power defangs the OAS, as the Micheletti government apparently does not fear isolation from other Latin American states. Maintenance of a working US relationship, however, remains necessary, at least economically. Fancy institutional arrangements at the OAS do not change this basic calculus.
Paradoxes of a Bolivian Socialist
In December 2008, Bush suspended trade preferences for Bolivia under ATPDEA (Andean Trade and Drug Eradication Act.) This is a program that gives trade preference to the four Andean nations, Peru, Colombia, Ecuador, and Bolivia and helps coordinate U.S. support for coca eradication. Bush ostensibly suspended Bolivia for failure to be vigilant against coca production, but was a direct result of the breakdown in relations when La Paz and Washington expelled the American and Bolivian ambassador, respectively. This directly hurt the Bolivian economy, as the U.S. is Bolivia’s second largest trading partner.
Morales, ever railing against the imperial yankees, is introducing export credits for the goods destined for the U.S. to help industry that was battered by a loss of U.S. trade preferences. This makes electoral sense, as helping struggling small and medium-sized businesses in the export sector will help Morales when he faces reelection later in the year. It’s somewhat harder to square with his statements regarding Bolivian economic independence and the cutting off ties with the imperial North American power. Simple economics, however, pretty much precludes any other option.
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